Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.018364 0.021396 0.024743 0.028709 0.033276 0.038366 0.044465
2025-11-16 0.013727 0.017619 0.022317 0.028391 0.036019 0.045264 0.057303
2025-11-23 0.010413 0.014552 0.019955 0.027489 0.037684 0.050959 0.069506
2025-11-30 0.008784 0.013226 0.019431 0.028671 0.042004 0.060458 0.087833
2025-12-07 0.007241 0.011669 0.018249 0.028643 0.044529 0.067749 0.104065
2025-12-14 0.005859 0.010055 0.016656 0.027666 0.045402 0.072639 0.117332
2025-12-21 0.004930 0.008965 0.015651 0.027367 0.047161 0.078943 0.133381
2025-12-28 0.004500 0.008619 0.015769 0.028863 0.051939 0.090476 0.159027
2026-01-04 0.004031 0.008111 0.015517 0.029654 0.055578 0.100496 0.183272
2026-01-11 0.003420 0.007228 0.014446 0.028801 0.056167 0.105318 0.199056
2026-01-18 0.002982 0.006599 0.013742 0.028504 0.057684 0.111872 0.218550
2026-01-25 0.002547 0.005897 0.012784 0.027560 0.057817 0.115850 0.233662
2026-02-01 0.002193 0.005312 0.011990 0.026861 0.058395 0.120846 0.251528
2026-02-08 0.001946 0.004923 0.011543 0.026814 0.060285 0.128595 0.275657
2026-02-15 0.001682 0.004446 0.010830 0.026087 0.060642 0.133302 0.294187
2026-02-22 0.001585 0.004353 0.010970 0.027279 0.065304 0.147378 0.333634
2026-03-01 0.001424 0.004070 0.010619 0.027288 0.067314 0.156050 0.362530
2026-03-08 0.001233 0.003672 0.009926 0.026372 0.067072 0.159779 0.381039
2026-03-15 0.001100 0.003404 0.009518 0.026096 0.068297 0.166892 0.407843
2026-03-22 0.001060 0.003394 0.009771 0.027531 0.073865 0.184521 0.460538
2026-03-29 0.000993 0.003292 0.009765 0.028289 0.077835 0.198822 0.506910
2026-04-05 0.000872 0.003004 0.009204 0.027475 0.077673 0.203219 0.530090
2026-04-12 0.000785 0.002803 0.008854 0.027192 0.078865 0.211044 0.562434